WASHINGTON, Jan 31 – In a decision that could reshape North American trade, U.S. President Donald Trump is set to impose 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, a move officials say is aimed at reducing illegal immigration and curbing drug trafficking, particularly fentanyl.
The decision, which takes effect February 1, 2025, has alarmed economists and industry leaders, who warn that the tariffs could lead to higher consumer prices and disrupt well-established supply chains.
The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which facilitates over $1.6 trillion in annual trade, is now at risk. Experts warn that these tariffs could prompt retaliatory measures from Canada and Mexico, escalating tensions among the three nations.
“This will send shockwaves through North American manufacturing,” said trade policy expert Kimberly Clausing, a former Biden administration official. “Our economies are deeply connected, and this kind of disruption will have widespread consequences.”
Key industries—including automobiles, electronics, agriculture, and raw materials—are likely to feel the effects first. Projections suggest that both Canada and Mexico’s GDP could shrink by 4.1% within a year of the tariffs taking effect.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum have strongly opposed the tariffs, calling them a violation of the USMCA. Trudeau vowed a firm response, while Sheinbaum warned that Mexico is prepared to challenge the move through legal and economic means.
“If these tariffs go forward, we will respond forcefully to protect Canadian businesses and consumers,” Trudeau stated in a press conference on Friday.
Mexico’s chief USMCA negotiator, Kenneth Smith Ramos, warned that the tariffs could “effectively freeze the agreement, creating uncertainty for companies and investors.”
The tariffs could significantly increase costs for U.S. consumers, exacerbating concerns over inflation. Goods such as groceries, cars, and electronics could see notable price hikes as businesses pass additional costs onto customers.
Trump trade advisor Peter Navarro defended the tariffs, stating that revenue from the policy could help fund the administration’s proposed tax cuts. “These tariffs put America first, ensuring we maintain control over our economic and national security,” Navarro said.
With the February 1 deadline fast approaching, businesses and policymakers are scrambling to determine the full implications of Trump’s tariffs. While the administration argues that the move is necessary for national security, critics fear it could lead to major economic disruptions and strained diplomatic relations with key trading partners.
As uncertainty looms, markets remain on edge, awaiting further developments in what could be one of the most significant trade disputes in recent history.